Municipal vs Achuapa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Municipal v Achuapa — Team-Based Signals
Municipal vs Achuapa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Municipal 1-1 Achuapa — Actual Match Statistics
Municipal and Achuapa couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
This one beat our numbers. Municipal carried 79% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Municipal had 63% of the ball to Achuapa's 37%, shots finished 14-10.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Municipal had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Municipal and 1.00 for Achuapa.
What was the final score of Municipal vs Achuapa?
Municipal 1-1 Achuapa in the Guatemala - National League on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Municipal vs Achuapa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 79%, with the full match-result split Municipal 79%, draw 15%, Achuapa 6%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.