Municipal 3-0 Achuapa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 19 Dec 2025

📅19/12/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
82%
1.3
Draw
12%
4.62
Away
6%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.67
Over 2.5
58%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
3.05
No
56%
1.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
2%
1/X
4%
X/1
29%
X/2
2%
X/X
5%
2/1
13%
2/2
2%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
82%
Home Win
73%
+9.2pp
12%
Draw
19%
-6.7pp
6%
Away Win
9%
-2.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
56%
-13.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
44%
+13.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
29%
+15.5pp
56%
BTTS No
71%
-15.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Achuapa EU Bookmakers 11%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
2.26/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.78
+19% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +2%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
475 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 187 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Achuapa
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.12.2025 Achuapa Achuapa 1-1 HT 1-1 Municipal Municipal GUAT
28.09.2025 Municipal Municipal 3-0 HT 1-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
21.07.2025 Achuapa Achuapa 2-2 HT 1-1 Municipal Municipal GUAT
10.03.2025 Achuapa Achuapa 2-1 HT 0-1 Municipal Municipal GUAT
22.01.2025 Municipal Municipal 2-1 HT 2-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
25.11.2024 Achuapa Achuapa 1-1 HT 1-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Municipal
3-0
AWAY Achuapa
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Municipal vs Achuapa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal cruised past Achuapa 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Municipal as the likeliest winner at 82%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Municipal had 58% of the ball to Achuapa's 42%, shots finished 13-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Municipal had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Municipal and 1.17 for Achuapa.

What was the final score of Municipal vs Achuapa?

Municipal 3-0 Achuapa in the Guatemala - National League on 19/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal vs Achuapa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 82%, with the full match-result split Municipal 82%, draw 12%, Achuapa 6%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Municipal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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