Achuapa vs Municipal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Achuapa v Municipal — Team-Based Signals
Achuapa vs Municipal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Achuapa 1-1 Municipal — Actual Match Statistics
Achuapa and Municipal couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Municipal at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Achuapa had 54% of the ball to Municipal's 46%, shots finished 8-9.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Municipal led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Achuapa and 2.00 for Municipal.
What was the final score of Achuapa vs Municipal?
Achuapa 1-1 Municipal in the Guatemala - National League on 15/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Achuapa vs Municipal?
Before kick-off our model rated an Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Achuapa 24%, draw 25%, Municipal 51%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Municipal) went the other way.