Napredak Krusevac vs Backa Topola Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Napredak Krusevac v Backa Topola — Team-Based Signals
Napredak Krusevac vs Backa Topola Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Napredak Krusevac
SIRP
Napredak Krusevac 1-2 Backa Topola — Actual Match Statistics
Backa Topola nicked a narrow win over Napredak Krusevac 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Backa Topola as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Napredak Krusevac had 56% of the ball to Backa Topola's 44%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.16 to 2.00.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Backa Topola led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Napredak Krusevac and 2.50 for Backa Topola.
What was the final score of Napredak Krusevac vs Backa Topola?
Napredak Krusevac 1-2 Backa Topola in the Serbia - Super League on 03/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Napredak Krusevac vs Backa Topola?
Before kick-off our model rated an Backa Topola win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Napredak Krusevac 20%, draw 22%, Backa Topola 58%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Backa Topola), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.