Bradford City 1-0 Fleetwood Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
24%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
66%
-13.6pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.8pp
23%
Away Win
13%
+10.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.6pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bradford City EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Fleetwood Town EU Bookmakers 16%
-4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
1.56/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.04
-22% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
312 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 68%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
23.2 Crosses 22.0
1.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bradford City
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Fleetwood Town
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.84 xG 1.11
55% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
362 Passes 216
71% Pass Accuracy 62%
24 Box Touches 10
33 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
09.11.2024 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
09.02.2019 Bradford City Bradford City 0-1 HT 0-1 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
01.09.2018 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 2-1 HT 1-1 Bradford City Bradford City İN1
01.01.2018 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 1-2 HT 1-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN1
26.09.2017 Bradford City Bradford City 0-3 HT 0-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
07.05.2017 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bradford City
1-0
AWAY Fleetwood Town
2.25 xG 0.76
67% Ball Possession 33%
17 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 1
314 Passes 118
72% Pass Accuracy 52%
36 Box Touches 11
31 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bradford City vs Fleetwood Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bradford City nicked a narrow win over Fleetwood Town 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bradford City as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Bradford City had 67% of the ball to Fleetwood Town's 33%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 2.25 to 0.76 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Bradford City's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fleetwood Town led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Bradford City and 1.33 for Fleetwood Town.

What was the final score of Bradford City vs Fleetwood Town?

Bradford City 1-0 Fleetwood Town in the England - 2nd Division on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bradford City vs Fleetwood Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bradford City win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Bradford City 52%, draw 24%, Fleetwood Town 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bradford City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bradford City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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