Grimsby Town 0-1 AFC Wimbledon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 3 May 2025

Grimsby Town
0-1 HT 0-0
AFC Wimbledon
📅03/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Grimsby Town vs AFC Wimbledon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.6
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
17%
4.14
6+ Goals
9%
20.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.6 — our 35% vs market 31.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.05
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
6%
13.7
X/1
14%
5.66
X/2
13%
5.56
X/X
19%
4.14
2/1
7%
32.5
2/2
13%
3.94
2/X
6%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.8pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.4pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-1.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.2pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Grimsby Town v AFC Wimbledon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grimsby Town EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Wimbledon EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -11%
1.41/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.15
+14% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +42%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
241 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 65%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
19.3 Crosses 19.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2

Grimsby Town vs AFC Wimbledon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grimsby Town
2W-2D-2L
AWAY AFC Wimbledon
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.60 xG 0.73
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
192 Passes 240
60% Pass Accuracy 64%
18 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.11.2024 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 0-1 HT 0-1 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
05.03.2024 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 0-0 HT 0-0 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
05.08.2023 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 0-0 HT 0-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2
08.05.2023 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 1-0 HT 1-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2
03.12.2022 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 1-0 HT 0-0 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
30.04.2011 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 2-1 HT 1-1 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İBSL

Grimsby Town 0-1 AFC Wimbledon — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grimsby Town
0-1
AWAY AFC Wimbledon
0.75 xG 1.26
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
204 Passes 162
64% Pass Accuracy 57%
17 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Grimsby Town vs AFC Wimbledon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Wimbledon squeezed past Grimsby Town 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 32%) promised a tight game; AFC Wimbledon found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Grimsby Town had 54% of the ball to AFC Wimbledon's 46%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.75 to 1.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Grimsby Town and 0.50 for AFC Wimbledon.

What was the final score of Grimsby Town vs AFC Wimbledon?

Grimsby Town 0-1 AFC Wimbledon in the England - 2nd Division on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grimsby Town vs AFC Wimbledon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grimsby Town win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Grimsby Town 37%, draw 31%, AFC Wimbledon 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Grimsby Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Grimsby Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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