Port Vale vs Gillingham Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Port Vale v Gillingham — Team-Based Signals
Port Vale vs Gillingham Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Port Vale
İN1
2-1
HT 0-1
Gillingham
İN1
0-2
HT 0-2
Port Vale
İN1
1-1
HT 1-1
Gillingham
İN1
2-1
HT 1-1
Gillingham
İN1
Port Vale 0-1 Gillingham — Actual Match Statistics
Gillingham nicked a narrow win over Port Vale 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Port Vale at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Port Vale had 65% of the ball to Gillingham's 35%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 1.14 to 0.32 — on chances, Port Vale could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Port Vale had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Port Vale and 0.83 for Gillingham.
What was the final score of Port Vale vs Gillingham?
Port Vale 0-1 Gillingham in the England - 2nd Division on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Port Vale vs Gillingham?
Before kick-off our model rated a Port Vale win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Port Vale 52%, draw 28%, Gillingham 21%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Port Vale) went the other way.