Gillingham vs Port Vale Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gillingham v Port Vale — Team-Based Signals
Gillingham vs Port Vale Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Port Vale
İN1
2-1
HT 0-1
Gillingham
İN1
0-2
HT 0-2
Port Vale
İN1
1-1
HT 1-1
Gillingham
İN1
2-1
HT 1-1
Gillingham
İN1
2-2
HT 1-1
Port Vale
İN1
Gillingham 1-0 Port Vale — Actual Match Statistics
Gillingham nicked a narrow win over Port Vale 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 35% — and on the day Gillingham made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Gillingham had 51% of the ball to Port Vale's 49%, shots finished 4-5, expected goals 0.39 to 0.82 — the balance of chances actually favoured Port Vale.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Port Vale led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gillingham and 1.67 for Port Vale.
What was the final score of Gillingham vs Port Vale?
Gillingham 1-0 Port Vale in the England - 2nd Division on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gillingham vs Port Vale?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gillingham win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Gillingham 35%, draw 30%, Port Vale 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.