Barrow 1-1 Colchester — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.71
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.32
6+ Goals
10%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.73
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.4
X/1
12%
4.19
X/2
8%
7.31
X/X
14%
4.25
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
12%
5.91
2/X
6%
14.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-2.9pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.8pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+1.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.6pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barrow EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Colchester EU Bookmakers 29%
+8% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
1.11/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.61
-6% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
259 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 70%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
19.1 Crosses 16.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barrow
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Colchester
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.82 xG 1.64
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
229 Passes 262
67% Pass Accuracy 69%
21 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.03.2024 Barrow Barrow 2-0 HT 1-0 Colchester Colchester İN2
25.11.2023 Colchester Colchester 1-4 HT 1-0 Barrow Barrow İN2
04.02.2023 Colchester Colchester 1-1 HT 0-0 Barrow Barrow İN2
01.11.2022 Barrow Barrow 3-1 HT 2-0 Colchester Colchester İN2
15.01.2022 Colchester Colchester 0-2 HT 0-0 Barrow Barrow İN2
10.09.2021 Barrow Barrow 2-3 HT 1-2 Colchester Colchester İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barrow
1-1
AWAY Colchester
1.01 xG 0.87
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
236 Passes 362
69% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 8
23 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Barrow vs Colchester
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barrow and Colchester shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Barrow at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Barrow had 42% of the ball to Colchester's 58%, shots finished 11-4, expected goals 1.01 to 0.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barrow had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Barrow and 1.00 for Colchester.

What was the final score of Barrow vs Colchester?

Barrow 1-1 Colchester in the England - 2nd Division on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barrow vs Colchester?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barrow win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Barrow 45%, draw 29%, Colchester 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Barrow), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barrow) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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