Salford City 0-1 Carlisle United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.18
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.69
6+ Goals
9%
15.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 29% vs market 25.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.86
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.75
X/1
14%
4.51
X/2
6%
6.78
X/X
12%
4.66
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
16%
5.05
2/X
6%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.1pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salford City EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Carlisle United EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +13%
1.32/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.06
+3% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
279 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 66%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
21.8 Crosses 16.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salford City
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Carlisle United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.26 xG 1.17
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
291 Passes 176
69% Pass Accuracy 56%
18 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.04.2023 Carlisle United Carlisle United 2-3 HT 0-2 Salford City Salford City İN2
19.11.2022 Salford City Salford City 1-4 HT 0-1 Carlisle United Carlisle United İN2
01.02.2022 Salford City Salford City 2-1 HT 0-0 Carlisle United Carlisle United İN2
04.09.2021 Carlisle United Carlisle United 2-1 HT 1-1 Salford City Salford City İN2
20.02.2021 Salford City Salford City 1-1 HT 0-1 Carlisle United Carlisle United İN2
02.12.2020 Carlisle United Carlisle United 2-1 HT 1-0 Salford City Salford City İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salford City
0-1
AWAY Carlisle United
0.92 xG 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 4
222 Passes 153
70% Pass Accuracy 59%
28 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Salford City vs Carlisle United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carlisle United squeezed past Salford City 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Salford City at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Salford City had 55% of the ball to Carlisle United's 45%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 0.92 to 0.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carlisle United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Salford City and 2.00 for Carlisle United.

What was the final score of Salford City vs Carlisle United?

Salford City 0-1 Carlisle United in the England - 2nd Division on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salford City vs Carlisle United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salford City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Salford City 45%, draw 26%, Carlisle United 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Salford City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Salford City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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