Walsall 1-1 Crewe Alexandra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.86
Over 2.5
53%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.24
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.63
6+ Goals
12%
14.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.19
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.65
X/1
20%
3.94
X/2
8%
9.78
X/X
12%
4.85
2/1
8%
24.45
2/2
11%
7.79
2/X
8%
15.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-6.7pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+7.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
50%
-3.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
50%
+3.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.7pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Walsall EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Crewe Alexandra EU Bookmakers 22%
+2% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +21%
2.00/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.40
+7% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
249 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 73%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
23.8 Crosses 16.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Walsall
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Crewe Alexandra
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.08 xG 1.05
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
194 Passes 310
64% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.12.2023 Walsall Walsall 2-0 HT 1-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
19.08.2023 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 2-2 HT 0-2 Walsall Walsall İN2
15.04.2023 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 2-0 HT 2-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
21.02.2023 Walsall Walsall 0-0 HT 0-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
01.02.2020 Walsall Walsall 1-2 HT 1-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
17.08.2019 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 1-0 HT 0-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Walsall
1-1
AWAY Crewe Alexandra
0.55 xG 0.39
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 3
2 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
235 Passes 215
71% Pass Accuracy 71%
15 Box Touches 10
24 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Walsall vs Crewe Alexandra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Walsall and Crewe Alexandra couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Walsall at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Walsall had 52% of the ball to Crewe Alexandra's 48%, shots finished 12-3, expected goals 0.55 to 0.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crewe Alexandra led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Walsall and 1.17 for Crewe Alexandra.

What was the final score of Walsall vs Crewe Alexandra?

Walsall 1-1 Crewe Alexandra in the England - 2nd Division on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Walsall vs Crewe Alexandra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Walsall win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Walsall 49%, draw 25%, Crewe Alexandra 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Walsall), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Walsall) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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