AFC Wimbledon 0-1 Grimsby Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.53
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.16
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.7
6+ Goals
10%
15.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1.93
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
17.55
X/1
28%
3.54
X/2
7%
11.75
X/X
10%
5.31
2/1
9%
24.45
2/2
10%
9.95
2/X
7%
18.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
61%
-6.9pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.3pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.5pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Wimbledon EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Grimsby Town EU Bookmakers 19%
-18% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -5%
1.78/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.44
+6% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
252 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 66%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
25.1 Crosses 16.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Wimbledon
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Grimsby Town
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.73 xG 0.57
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
211 Passes 200
62% Pass Accuracy 60%
16 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.03.2024 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 0-0 HT 0-0 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
05.08.2023 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 0-0 HT 0-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2
08.05.2023 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 1-0 HT 1-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2
03.12.2022 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 1-0 HT 0-0 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
30.04.2011 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 2-1 HT 1-1 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İBSL
05.03.2011 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 2-1 HT 1-1 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Wimbledon
0-1
AWAY Grimsby Town
0.73 xG 0.67
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
329 Passes 169
72% Pass Accuracy 60%
22 Box Touches 21
38 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AFC Wimbledon vs Grimsby Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grimsby Town squeezed past AFC Wimbledon 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was AFC Wimbledon at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, AFC Wimbledon had 63% of the ball to Grimsby Town's 37%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 0.73 to 0.67.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for AFC Wimbledon and 0.67 for Grimsby Town.

What was the final score of AFC Wimbledon vs Grimsby Town?

AFC Wimbledon 0-1 Grimsby Town in the England - 2nd Division on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Wimbledon vs Grimsby Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Wimbledon win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split AFC Wimbledon 54%, draw 23%, Grimsby Town 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (AFC Wimbledon), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Wimbledon) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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