Doncaster Rovers 1-1 Notts County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.19
2-3 Goals
38%
1.86
4-5 Goals
26%
3.03
6+ Goals
12%
9.43
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.55
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.4
X/1
15%
4.69
X/2
9%
8.03
X/X
11%
5.06
2/1
8%
22.7
2/2
14%
5.46
2/X
9%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-5.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.6pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Doncaster Rovers EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Notts County EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -3%
1.55/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.60
-11% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
285 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 71%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
22.7 Crosses 19.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Doncaster Rovers
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Notts County
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.14 xG 2.04
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
212 Passes 688
74% Pass Accuracy 88%
18 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.12.2023 Notts County Notts County 3-0 HT 2-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
19.08.2023 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 1-3 HT 0-1 Notts County Notts County İN2
14.11.2018 Notts County Notts County 4-2 HT 3-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İNTK
14.03.2017 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 3-1 HT 1-1 Notts County Notts County İN2
26.12.2016 Notts County Notts County 0-1 HT 0-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
25.04.2015 Notts County Notts County 2-1 HT 1-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Doncaster Rovers
1-1
AWAY Notts County
1.16 xG 0.88
41% Ball Possession 59%
19 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
227 Passes 375
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
34 Box Touches 10
33 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Doncaster Rovers vs Notts County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Doncaster Rovers and Notts County couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Doncaster Rovers at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Doncaster Rovers had 41% of the ball to Notts County's 59%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 1.16 to 0.88.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Notts County led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Doncaster Rovers and 2.17 for Notts County.

What was the final score of Doncaster Rovers vs Notts County?

Doncaster Rovers 1-1 Notts County in the England - 2nd Division on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Doncaster Rovers vs Notts County?

Before kick-off our model rated a Doncaster Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Doncaster Rovers 44%, draw 27%, Notts County 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Doncaster Rovers), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Doncaster Rovers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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