Harrogate Town 1-2 Morecambe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.16
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.71
6+ Goals
8%
15.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 31% vs market 26.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.54
1/2
6%
30.5
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1
14%
5.21
X/2
10%
5.62
X/X
14%
4.57
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
18%
3.94
2/X
7%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
+0.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.4pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harrogate Town EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Morecambe EU Bookmakers 38%
-6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
1.38/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.52
+1% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -26%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
256 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 67%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
19.2 Crosses 17.1
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Harrogate Town
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Morecambe
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.98 xG 1.56
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
336 Passes 242
70% Pass Accuracy 62%
22 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
01.01.2024 Morecambe Morecambe 2-2 HT 0-1 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
26.08.2023 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Morecambe Morecambe İN2
18.10.2022 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 2-1 HT 1-1 Morecambe Morecambe İNTK
20.03.2021 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Morecambe Morecambe İN2
12.12.2020 Morecambe Morecambe 1-0 HT 0-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Harrogate Town
1-2
AWAY Morecambe
2.34 xG 0.60
57% Ball Possession 43%
21 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
296 Passes 195
71% Pass Accuracy 61%
26 Box Touches 17
27 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Harrogate Town vs Morecambe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Morecambe squeezed past Harrogate Town 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Morecambe made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Harrogate Town had 57% of the ball to Morecambe's 43%, shots finished 21-11, expected goals 2.34 to 0.60 — the balance of chances actually favoured Harrogate Town.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Harrogate Town and 1.00 for Morecambe.

What was the final score of Harrogate Town vs Morecambe?

Harrogate Town 1-2 Morecambe in the England - 2nd Division on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harrogate Town vs Morecambe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Harrogate Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Harrogate Town 39%, draw 27%, Morecambe 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Harrogate Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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