Notts County 1-2 Doncaster Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.7pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.5pp
38%
Away Win
38%
+0.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.7pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Notts County EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Doncaster Rovers EU Bookmakers 42%
-10% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +14%
1.76/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/0.98
-7% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / +20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
317 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 73%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
26.4 Crosses 19.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Notts County
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Doncaster Rovers
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.65 xG 1.15
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
583 Passes 217
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.11.2024 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 1-1 HT 0-1 Notts County Notts County İN2
26.12.2023 Notts County Notts County 3-0 HT 2-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
19.08.2023 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 1-3 HT 0-1 Notts County Notts County İN2
14.11.2018 Notts County Notts County 4-2 HT 3-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İNTK
14.03.2017 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 3-1 HT 1-1 Notts County Notts County İN2
26.12.2016 Notts County Notts County 0-1 HT 0-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Notts County
1-2
AWAY Doncaster Rovers
1.56 xG 2.65
66% Ball Possession 34%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
453 Passes 205
86% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 19
35 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Notts County vs Doncaster Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Doncaster Rovers nicked a narrow win over Notts County 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Doncaster Rovers made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Notts County had 66% of the ball to Doncaster Rovers's 34%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.56 to 2.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Notts County had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Notts County and 1.33 for Doncaster Rovers.

What was the final score of Notts County vs Doncaster Rovers?

Notts County 1-2 Doncaster Rovers in the England - 2nd Division on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Notts County vs Doncaster Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Doncaster Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Notts County 35%, draw 27%, Doncaster Rovers 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Doncaster Rovers), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Doncaster Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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