Carlisle United vs Salford City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Carlisle United v Salford City — Team-Based Signals
Carlisle United vs Salford City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 0-2
Salford City
İN2
1-4
HT 0-1
Carlisle United
İN2
2-1
HT 0-0
Carlisle United
İN2
2-1
HT 1-1
Salford City
İN2
1-1
HT 0-1
Carlisle United
İN2
Carlisle United 2-2 Salford City — Actual Match Statistics
Carlisle United and Salford City shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Salford City at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Carlisle United had 56% of the ball to Salford City's 44%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 1.75 to 2.00.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carlisle United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Carlisle United and 1.33 for Salford City.
What was the final score of Carlisle United vs Salford City?
Carlisle United 2-2 Salford City in the England - 2nd Division on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Carlisle United vs Salford City?
Before kick-off our model rated an Salford City win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Carlisle United 25%, draw 24%, Salford City 51%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Salford City) went the other way.