Fleetwood Town 1-0 Bradford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
38%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.52
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.4
6+ Goals
10%
12.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 28% vs market 23.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.55
1/2
9%
28.5
1/X
5%
13.3
X/1
12%
5.39
X/2
13%
5.61
X/X
12%
4.85
2/1
11%
27.5
2/2
16%
3.75
2/X
9%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+2.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.4pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fleetwood Town EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Bradford City EU Bookmakers 39%
-8% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
2.35/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/0.98
-26% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +30%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
252 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 69%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
16.7 Crosses 17.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fleetwood Town
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Bradford City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
188 Passes 326
57% Pass Accuracy 68%
9 Box Touches 30
8 Crosses 33
1 Yellow Cards 0
09.02.2019 Bradford City Bradford City 0-1 HT 0-1 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
01.09.2018 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 2-1 HT 1-1 Bradford City Bradford City İN1
01.01.2018 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 1-2 HT 1-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN1
26.09.2017 Bradford City Bradford City 0-3 HT 0-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
07.05.2017 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN1
04.05.2017 Bradford City Bradford City 1-0 HT 0-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fleetwood Town
1-0
AWAY Bradford City
1.11 xG 0.84
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 11
209 Passes 437
64% Pass Accuracy 79%
10 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 35
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fleetwood Town vs Bradford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fleetwood Town squeezed past Bradford City 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Fleetwood Town made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Fleetwood Town had 37% of the ball to Bradford City's 63%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 1.11 to 0.84.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fleetwood Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Fleetwood Town and 0.67 for Bradford City.

What was the final score of Fleetwood Town vs Bradford City?

Fleetwood Town 1-0 Bradford City in the England - 2nd Division on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fleetwood Town vs Bradford City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bradford City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Fleetwood Town 36%, draw 27%, Bradford City 38%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bradford City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN2 More England - 2nd Division
9 Nov 2024
15:30 Harrogate Town vs Morecambe Analysis →
15:30 Salford City vs Carlisle United Analysis →
18:00 AFC Wimbledon vs Grimsby Town Analysis →
18:00 Gillingham vs Port Vale Analysis →
18:00 Walsall vs Crewe Alexandra Analysis →
18:00 Barrow vs Colchester Analysis →