Derby County vs Stoke City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Derby County v Stoke City — Team-Based Signals
Derby County vs Stoke City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Derby County 0-0 Stoke City — Actual Match Statistics
neither Derby County nor Stoke City could break the deadlock in a goalless afternoon. A game for the defenders, not the highlight reels.
The preview numbers (34% / 36% / 30%) promised nothing between these sides, and the point apiece bears that out. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (72%), no to both teams scoring (65%) came in.
The match data tells the story: possession split 52% to 48% in Derby County's favour, shots finished 12-4, expected goals 1.49 to 0.21.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derby County had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Derby County against 0.83 for Stoke City.
Derby County vs Stoke City Result & Final Score
Derby County 0-0 Stoke City in the England - Championship on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Derby County vs Stoke City Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Derby County 34%, draw 36%, Stoke City 30%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.