Çaykur Rizespor 2-0 Gaziantep FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
22%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.48
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
2.83
6+ Goals
12%
7.93
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.48 — our 24% vs market 17.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.25
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
9%
13.75
X/1 EV+ ✓
22%
4.56
X/2
8%
9.15
X/X
8%
6.0
2/1
7%
20.6
2/2
9%
6.56
2/X
7%
14.9
Value flag · X/1 at 4.56 — our 22% vs market 17.5%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
53%
+0.8pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.1pp
22%
Away Win
23%
-0.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.4pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Çaykur Rizespor EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Gaziantep FK EU Bookmakers 26%
+8% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -3%
1.62/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.56
-9% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
348 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 79%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
23.3 Crosses 14.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Çaykur Rizespor
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Gaziantep FK
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.38 xG 1.66
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
345 Passes 299
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 26
21 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
09.12.2024 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 1-0 HT 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
17.03.2024 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 3-1 HT 0-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
06.11.2023 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 2-0 HT 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
20.05.2022 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 2-0 HT 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
26.12.2021 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 0-1 HT 0-1 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
11.05.2021 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 4-5 HT 0-3 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Çaykur Rizespor
2-0
AWAY Gaziantep FK
3.14 xG 0.70
44% Ball Possession 56%
20 Total Shots 14
11 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 6
263 Passes 362
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
35 Box Touches 25
25 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Çaykur Rizespor vs Gaziantep FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Çaykur Rizespor got the better of Gaziantep FK 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Çaykur Rizespor as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Çaykur Rizespor had 44% of the ball to Gaziantep FK's 56%, shots finished 20-14, expected goals 3.14 to 0.70.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gaziantep FK led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Çaykur Rizespor and 1.83 for Gaziantep FK.

What was the final score of Çaykur Rizespor vs Gaziantep FK?

Çaykur Rizespor 2-0 Gaziantep FK in the Turkey - Super League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Çaykur Rizespor vs Gaziantep FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Çaykur Rizespor win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Çaykur Rizespor 54%, draw 24%, Gaziantep FK 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Çaykur Rizespor) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Çaykur Rizespor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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