Hatayspor 2-4 Başakşehir FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.65
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
55%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
18%
+5.7pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.8pp
55%
Away Win
61%
-6.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.5pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hatayspor EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Başakşehir FK EU Bookmakers 66%
+17% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +8%
1.23/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/0.92
+56% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +46%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
261 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 81%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
16.2 Crosses 15.8
3.9 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hatayspor
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Başakşehir FK
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.47 xG 1.82
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
313 Passes 382
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.12.2024 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 3-0 HT 0-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
27.04.2024 Hatayspor Hatayspor 1-2 HT 0-1 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
07.02.2024 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 1-1 HT 1-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TÜK
10.12.2023 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 1-0 HT 1-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
07.11.2022 Hatayspor Hatayspor 3-3 HT 1-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
24.04.2022 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 3-0 HT 0-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hatayspor
2-4
AWAY Başakşehir FK
0.77 xG 2.74
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
308 Passes 399
82% Pass Accuracy 90%
18 Box Touches 37
15 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hatayspor vs Başakşehir FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Başakşehir FK got the better of Hatayspor 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Başakşehir FK as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Hatayspor had 46% of the ball to Başakşehir FK's 54%, shots finished 8-18, expected goals 0.77 to 2.74.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Başakşehir FK led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Hatayspor and 2.17 for Başakşehir FK.

What was the final score of Hatayspor vs Başakşehir FK?

Hatayspor 2-4 Başakşehir FK in the Turkey - Super League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hatayspor vs Başakşehir FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Başakşehir FK win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Hatayspor 24%, draw 21%, Başakşehir FK 55%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Başakşehir FK), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Başakşehir FK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TSL More Turkey - Super League
3 May 2025
16:00 Alanyaspor vs Kayserispor Analysis →
16:00 Çaykur Rizespor vs Gaziantep FK Analysis →
19:00 Galatasaray vs Sivasspor Analysis →