Galatasaray 4-1 Sivasspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.16
Draw
19%
7.13
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
4.0
Over 2.5
60%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
9.72
2-3 Goals
35%
2.56
4-5 Goals
27%
2.31
6+ Goals
16%
3.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1.25
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
7%
27.5
X/1
18%
4.21
X/2
4%
32.0
X/X
6%
13.7
2/1
7%
19.3
2/2
7%
25.5
2/X
5%
32.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
82%
-15.3pp
19%
Draw
11%
+7.4pp
15%
Away Win
7%
+8.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
22%
+18.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
78%
-18.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.5pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Galatasaray EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Sivasspor EU Bookmakers 9%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -6%
2.55/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.88
+0% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +10%
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
432 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 73%
35.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
25.9 Crosses 14.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Galatasaray
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Sivasspor
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.73 xG 1.20
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
412 Passes 248
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.12.2024 Sivasspor Sivasspor 2-3 HT 1-2 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
05.05.2024 Galatasaray Galatasaray 6-1 HT 2-0 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
11.01.2024 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-1 HT 0-1 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
20.05.2023 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-0 HT 1-0 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
29.12.2022 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-2 HT 0-1 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
01.05.2022 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-3 HT 1-1 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Galatasaray
4-1
AWAY Sivasspor
3.17 xG 0.20
72% Ball Possession 28%
26 Total Shots 3
10 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 0
573 Passes 189
90% Pass Accuracy 75%
47 Box Touches 6
34 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Galatasaray vs Sivasspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galatasaray ran out comfortable winners over Sivasspor 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Galatasaray as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Galatasaray had 72% of the ball to Sivasspor's 28%, shots finished 26-3, expected goals 3.17 to 0.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Galatasaray had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Galatasaray and 1.33 for Sivasspor.

What was the final score of Galatasaray vs Sivasspor?

Galatasaray 4-1 Sivasspor in the Turkey - Super League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Galatasaray vs Sivasspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Galatasaray win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Galatasaray 67%, draw 19%, Sivasspor 15%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Galatasaray), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Galatasaray) ✓ Over 2.5
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