New York Red Bulls 0-2 FC Dallas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.61
Over 2.5
48%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.39
No
50%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
5.7
2-3 Goals
35%
2.02
4-5 Goals
23%
2.5
6+ Goals
11%
5.52
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.7 — our 31% vs market 12.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.28
1/2
7%
23.1
1/X
5%
11.9
X/1
15%
6.04
X/2
15%
6.34
X/X
9%
5.99
2/1
7%
22.25
2/2
15%
3.54
2/X
10%
12.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-0.8pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.3pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
35%
+17.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
65%
-17.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
68%
-17.4pp
50%
BTTS No
32%
+17.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New York Red Bulls EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Dallas EU Bookmakers 40%
-8% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -13%
1.49/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.50
-14% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
327 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
17.8 Crosses 14.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New York Red Bulls
3W-3D-0L
AWAY FC Dallas
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.40 xG 1.15
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
379 Passes 383
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
22.05.2025 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 2-2 HT 0-1 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABDK
10.03.2024 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
17.04.2022 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
11.05.2019 FC Dallas FC Dallas 1-3 HT 1-1 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
24.06.2018 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 3-0 HT 2-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
03.09.2017 FC Dallas FC Dallas 2-2 HT 0-1 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New York Red Bulls
0-2
AWAY FC Dallas
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 12
0 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
480 Passes 322
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
POST-MATCH New York Red Bulls vs FC Dallas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Dallas saw off New York Red Bulls 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 37%) promised a tight game; FC Dallas found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, New York Red Bulls had 58% of the ball to FC Dallas's 42%, shots finished 9-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York Red Bulls had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for New York Red Bulls and 1.00 for FC Dallas.

What was the final score of New York Red Bulls vs FC Dallas?

New York Red Bulls 0-2 FC Dallas in the USA - Major League on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New York Red Bulls vs FC Dallas?

Before kick-off our model rated a New York Red Bulls win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split New York Red Bulls 39%, draw 24%, FC Dallas 37%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (New York Red Bulls) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (New York Red Bulls) ✓ Under 2.5
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