Houston Dynamo 1-0 Colorado Rapids — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
4.31
2-3 Goals
37%
1.86
4-5 Goals
23%
2.81
6+ Goals
12%
8.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.55
1/2
7%
31.5
1/X
5%
12.55
X/1
15%
4.85
X/2
11%
7.75
X/X
10%
5.5
2/1
8%
21.3
2/2
13%
5.26
2/X
8%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-2.7pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.2pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.6pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Houston Dynamo EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Colorado Rapids EU Bookmakers 30%
+1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
1.56/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.76
-18% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
402 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 82%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
20.6 Crosses 14.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Houston Dynamo
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Colorado Rapids
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.82 xG 1.57
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
446 Passes 343
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2026 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 6-2 HT 2-0 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
14.09.2025 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 2-1 HT 1-0 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
20.04.2025 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 2-2 HT 1-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
30.05.2024 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 3-1 HT 1-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
24.03.2024 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 0-1 HT 0-0 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
08.10.2023 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 5-1 HT 4-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Houston Dynamo
1-0
AWAY Colorado Rapids
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
290 Passes 498
84% Pass Accuracy 92%
POST-MATCH Houston Dynamo vs Colorado Rapids
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Houston Dynamo edged past Colorado Rapids 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Houston Dynamo as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Houston Dynamo had 39% of the ball to Colorado Rapids's 61%, shots finished 9-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Houston Dynamo had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Houston Dynamo and 2.00 for Colorado Rapids.

What was the final score of Houston Dynamo vs Colorado Rapids?

Houston Dynamo 1-0 Colorado Rapids in the USA - Major League on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Houston Dynamo vs Colorado Rapids?

Before kick-off our model rated a Houston Dynamo win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Houston Dynamo 46%, draw 23%, Colorado Rapids 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Houston Dynamo) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Houston Dynamo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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