New England Revolution 1-0 Charlotte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
28%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.8
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.02
6+ Goals
10%
9.79
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.8 — our 27% vs market 20.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.02
1/2
6%
29.0
1/X
7%
12.55
X/1
21%
5.17
X/2
9%
6.6
X/X
9%
5.1
2/1
11%
23.5
2/2
13%
4.4
2/X
8%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
43%
+4.7pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-2.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.2pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New England Revolution EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlotte EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -2%
1.45/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.67
+4% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
358 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 80%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
20.8 Crosses 13.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New England Revolution
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Charlotte
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.01 xG 1.34
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
370 Passes 379
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 29
17 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2025 New England Revolution New England Revolution 1-2 HT 1-1 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
27.04.2025 Charlotte Charlotte 0-1 HT 0-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
21.09.2024 Charlotte Charlotte 4-0 HT 1-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
07.04.2024 New England Revolution New England Revolution 1-0 HT 1-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
01.10.2023 New England Revolution New England Revolution 2-1 HT 0-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
26.02.2023 Charlotte Charlotte 0-1 HT 0-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New England Revolution
1-0
AWAY Charlotte
1.58 xG 1.10
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
474 Passes 379
88% Pass Accuracy 87%
34 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH New England Revolution vs Charlotte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

New England Revolution nicked a narrow win over Charlotte 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had New England Revolution as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, New England Revolution had 55% of the ball to Charlotte's 45%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.58 to 1.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, New England Revolution had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for New England Revolution and 1.17 for Charlotte.

What was the final score of New England Revolution vs Charlotte?

New England Revolution 1-0 Charlotte in the USA - Major League on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New England Revolution vs Charlotte?

Before kick-off our model rated a New England Revolution win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split New England Revolution 48%, draw 24%, Charlotte 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New England Revolution), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (New England Revolution) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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