Colorado Rapids 2-1 Houston Dynamo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.56
No
41%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.15
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
2.85
6+ Goals
12%
8.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.61
1/2
9%
31.0
1/X
8%
12.75
X/1
15%
4.82
X/2
10%
7.44
X/X
8%
5.49
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
21.35
2/2
13%
5.07
2/X
8%
13.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.35 — our 11% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-2.9pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.4pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.8pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colorado Rapids EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Houston Dynamo EU Bookmakers 31%
-4% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +10%
1.58/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.58
-21% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
349 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 81%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
20.8 Crosses 15.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colorado Rapids
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Houston Dynamo
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.19 xG 1.30
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
308 Passes 431
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.04.2025 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 2-2 HT 1-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
30.05.2024 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 3-1 HT 1-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
24.03.2024 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 0-1 HT 0-0 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
08.10.2023 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 5-1 HT 4-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
16.07.2023 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 0-0 HT 0-0 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
21.08.2022 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 1-1 HT 0-0 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colorado Rapids
2-1
AWAY Houston Dynamo
1.90 xG 2.13
58% Ball Possession 42%
22 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 5
418 Passes 288
89% Pass Accuracy 84%
25 Box Touches 27
21 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Colorado Rapids vs Houston Dynamo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colorado Rapids edged past Houston Dynamo 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Colorado Rapids as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Colorado Rapids had 58% of the ball to Houston Dynamo's 42%, shots finished 22-15, expected goals 1.90 to 2.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Houston Dynamo led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Colorado Rapids and 2.00 for Houston Dynamo.

What was the final score of Colorado Rapids vs Houston Dynamo?

Colorado Rapids 2-1 Houston Dynamo in the USA - Major League on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colorado Rapids vs Houston Dynamo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colorado Rapids win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Colorado Rapids 45%, draw 23%, Houston Dynamo 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colorado Rapids), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Colorado Rapids) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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