San Diego 2-2 Los Angeles FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
41%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
2.29
Over
58%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
62%
1.49
No
38%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1
23%
4.51
2-3
38%
1.87
4-5
25%
2.74
6+
14%
7.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.49
1/2
7%
23.95
1/X
4%
12.45
X/1
13%
5.9
X/2
14%
5.93
X/X
9%
5.53
2/1
10%
23.95
2/2
20%
3.52
2/X
9%
12.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.95 — our 10% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.8pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.3pp
41%
Away Win
37%
+4.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.3pp
62%
BTTS Yes
63%
-0.7pp
38%
BTTS No
37%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Diego EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Los Angeles FC EU Bookmakers 40%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.58/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.56
-9% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
376 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 79%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
17.8 Crosses 13.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Diego
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Los Angeles FC
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.88 xG 1.52
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
630 Passes 390
90% Pass Accuracy 88%
16 Box Touches 26
10 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.09.2025 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 1-2 HT 1-1 San Diego San Diego ABD
30.03.2025 San Diego San Diego 3-2 HT 3-2 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Diego
2-2
AWAY Los Angeles FC
0.98 xG 1.18
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
596 Passes 441
89% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Box Touches 20
11 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH San Diego vs Los Angeles FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Diego and Los Angeles FC couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 22% / 41%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, San Diego had 56% of the ball to Los Angeles FC's 44%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 0.98 to 1.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, San Diego had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for San Diego and 1.50 for Los Angeles FC.

What was the final score of San Diego vs Los Angeles FC?

San Diego 2-2 Los Angeles FC in the USA - Major League on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Diego vs Los Angeles FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Los Angeles FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split San Diego 38%, draw 22%, Los Angeles FC 41%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Los Angeles FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Los Angeles FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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