Magdeburg 1-0 Hertha Berlin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.63
Over 2.5
63%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.39
No
39%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.87
2-3 Goals
40%
2.03
4-5 Goals
28%
2.42
6+ Goals
12%
5.09
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-2.4pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.9pp
36%
Away Win
29%
+6.2pp
37%
Under 2.5
34%
+2.6pp
63%
Over 2.5
66%
-2.6pp
61%
BTTS Yes
68%
-6.7pp
39%
BTTS No
32%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Magdeburg EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Hertha Berlin EU Bookmakers 33%
-6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +14%
1.84/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.58
+22% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
371 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 79%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.2
15.7 Crosses 18.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Magdeburg
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Hertha Berlin
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
2.11 xG 2.02
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
422 Passes 295
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.12.2025 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 0-2 HT 0-0 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
25.04.2025 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 1-1 HT 1-1 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
29.11.2024 Magdeburg Magdeburg 1-3 HT 0-0 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL2
16.02.2024 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 3-2 HT 2-1 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
02.09.2023 Magdeburg Magdeburg 6-4 HT 2-3 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Magdeburg
1-0
AWAY Hertha Berlin
0.60 xG 0.98
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 1
341 Passes 372
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 31
10 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Magdeburg vs Hertha Berlin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Magdeburg nicked a narrow win over Hertha Berlin 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Magdeburg as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Magdeburg had 47% of the ball to Hertha Berlin's 53%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 0.60 to 0.98.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Magdeburg and 2.20 for Hertha Berlin.

What was the final score of Magdeburg vs Hertha Berlin?

Magdeburg 1-0 Hertha Berlin in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Magdeburg vs Hertha Berlin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Magdeburg win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Magdeburg 44%, draw 20%, Hertha Berlin 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Magdeburg) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Magdeburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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