Zira 1-0 Qabala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 3 May 2026

Zira
1-0 HT 0-0
Qabala
📅03/05/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
57%
-3.4pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.9pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.2pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zira EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Qabala EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
1.40/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.40
-18% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
340 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zira
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Qabala
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
22.11.2025 Zira Zira 1-0 HT 1-0 Qabala Qabala AZERS
25.08.2025 Qabala Qabala 1-2 HT 1-2 Zira Zira AZERS
24.04.2024 Qabala Qabala 0-2 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERK
07.04.2024 Zira Zira 4-0 HT 3-0 Qabala Qabala AZERS
03.04.2024 Zira Zira 2-1 HT 0-0 Qabala Qabala AZERK
04.02.2024 Qabala Qabala 1-1 HT 1-1 Zira Zira AZERS
POST-MATCH Zira vs Qabala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zira squeezed past Qabala 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zira as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zira had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Zira and 0.50 for Qabala.

What was the final score of Zira vs Qabala?

Zira 1-0 Qabala in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zira vs Qabala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zira win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Zira 54%, draw 23%, Qabala 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zira), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
3 May 2026
15:00 Shamakhi vs Sabah Analysis →