Deportivo Recoleta vs Cerro Porteno Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportivo Recoleta v Cerro Porteno — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Recoleta vs Cerro Porteno Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
Deportivo Recoleta 2-1 Cerro Porteno — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo Recoleta squeezed past Cerro Porteno 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Cerro Porteno at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) came in.
On the day, Deportivo Recoleta had 52% of the ball to Cerro Porteno's 48%, shots finished 9-6.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Cerro Porteno led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Deportivo Recoleta and 2.40 for Cerro Porteno.
What was the final score of Deportivo Recoleta vs Cerro Porteno?
Deportivo Recoleta 2-1 Cerro Porteno in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportivo Recoleta vs Cerro Porteno?
Before kick-off our model rated an Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Recoleta 29%, draw 23%, Cerro Porteno 48%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cerro Porteno) went the other way.