Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 2-2 Backa Topola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
38%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
41%
-6.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.0pp
38%
Away Win
31%
+6.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.0pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Backa Topola EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +1%
1.78/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.45
+44% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
303 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 73%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
19.8 Crosses 13.3
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Backa Topola
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.01 xG 1.95
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
248 Passes 301
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.03.2026 Backa Topola Backa Topola 0-0 HT 0-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
25.10.2025 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 2-1 HT 1-0 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
25.05.2025 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 5-2 HT 2-0 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
08.03.2025 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 1-3 HT 0-1 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
18.10.2024 Backa Topola Backa Topola 0-2 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
08.05.2024 Backa Topola Backa Topola 4-3 HT 3-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
2-2
AWAY Backa Topola
1.84 xG 2.65
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
280 Passes 315
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 18
10 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Backa Topola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac and Backa Topola shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac had 49% of the ball to Backa Topola's 51%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 1.84 to 2.65.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac and 1.67 for Backa Topola.

What was the final score of Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Backa Topola?

Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 2-2 Backa Topola in the Serbia - Super League on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Backa Topola?

Before kick-off our model rated an Backa Topola win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 34%, draw 28%, Backa Topola 38%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Backa Topola), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Backa Topola) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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