Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 3-0 Danubio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.59
Over 2.5
50%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.99
No
47%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.3pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.0pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
59%
-9.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
41%
+9.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
46%
+7.3pp
47%
BTTS No
54%
-7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo) EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Danubio EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
1.44/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.17
+19% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
276 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.0 Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Danubio
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.08.2025 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 0-0 HT 0-0 Danubio Danubio URU
01.02.2025 Danubio Danubio 1-1 HT 1-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
22.09.2024 Danubio Danubio 1-0 HT 1-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
28.07.2024 Danubio Danubio 2-0 HT 1-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
10.03.2024 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-2 HT 1-1 Danubio Danubio URU
26.08.2023 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-0 HT 1-0 Danubio Danubio URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
3-0
AWAY Danubio
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 0
1 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Danubio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) cruised past Danubio 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Liverpool FC (Montevideo) as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) had 45% of the ball to Danubio's 55%, shots finished 8-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Danubio led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) and 1.00 for Danubio.

What was the final score of Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Danubio?

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 3-0 Danubio in the Uruguay - Premier League on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Danubio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool FC (Montevideo) win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 41%, draw 27%, Danubio 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)) ✗ BTTS Yes
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