Treaty United 2-1 Kerry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 3 Jul 2026

📅03/07/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
29%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.71
Over
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.69
2-3
47%
1.7
4-5
20%
3.85
6+
4%
17.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
20%
2/1
3%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Treaty United The Market 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Kerry The Market 37%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
1.23 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.34
0.90 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.55
Average Attack Strength Strong
Strong Defense Strength Bad
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2 Yellow Cards 5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Treaty United
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Kerry
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
17.04.2026 Kerry Kerry 1-1 HT 0-1 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
06.03.2026 Treaty United Treaty United 2-2 HT 0-1 Kerry Kerry İR1
26.09.2025 Kerry Kerry 1-1 HT 0-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
04.08.2025 Treaty United Treaty United 1-1 HT 0-0 Kerry Kerry İR1
09.05.2025 Kerry Kerry 1-0 HT 1-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
04.04.2025 Treaty United Treaty United 3-0 HT 1-0 Kerry Kerry İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Treaty United
2 - 1
AWAY Kerry
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Treaty United vs Kerry
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Treaty United found just enough to beat Kerry 2-1. From 0-1 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.

From a near-even 40% / 31% / 29% read, it was Treaty United who turned the coin-flip their way.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 46% for over 2.5, 51% on both teams scoring.

The match data tells the story: Treaty United had 53% of the ball to Kerry's 47%, shots finished 16-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Treaty United and 1.00 for Kerry.

Treaty United vs Kerry Result & Final Score

Treaty United 2 - 1 Kerry in the Ireland - 1st Division on 03/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Treaty United vs Kerry Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Treaty United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Treaty United 40%, draw 31%, Kerry 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Treaty United), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Treaty United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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