Kerry 1-1 Treaty United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 17 Apr 2026

Kerry
1 - 1 HT 0 - 1
Treaty United
📅17/04/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Ireland - 1st Division – 2026

Kerry vs Treaty United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.68
Over
46%
1.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.62
2-3
46%
1.7
4-5
21%
3.96
6+
4%
19.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
3%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Kerry v Treaty United — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Kerry The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Treaty United The Market 30%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.24 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.23
0.95 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.56
Bad Attack Strength Strong
Great Defense Strength Average
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2

Kerry vs Treaty United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kerry
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Treaty United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.03.2026 Treaty United Treaty United 2-2 HT 0-1 Kerry Kerry İR1
26.09.2025 Kerry Kerry 1-1 HT 0-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
04.08.2025 Treaty United Treaty United 1-1 HT 0-0 Kerry Kerry İR1
09.05.2025 Kerry Kerry 1-0 HT 1-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
04.04.2025 Treaty United Treaty United 3-0 HT 1-0 Kerry Kerry İR1
06.09.2024 Treaty United Treaty United 1-1 HT 0-0 Kerry Kerry İR1
REVIEW Kerry vs Treaty United
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Kerry and Treaty United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We leaned Kerry at 44% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 46% and both teams to score at 51%, coin-flips both.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kerry and 1.33 for Treaty United.

Kerry vs Treaty United Result & Final Score

Kerry 1 - 1 Treaty United in the Ireland - 1st Division on 17/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Kerry vs Treaty United Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Kerry win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Kerry 44%, draw 29%, Treaty United 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kerry) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kerry) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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