Riga FC 3-0 FS Jelgava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 3 Jul 2026

📅03/07/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
80%
1.16
Draw
13%
7.13
Away
7%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
27%
X/2
3%
X/X
4%
2/1
9%
2/2
2%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
80%
Home Win
82%
-1.7pp
13%
Draw
11%
+1.4pp
7%
Away Win
7%
+0.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.1pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Riga FC EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY FS Jelgava EU Bookmakers 9%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +9%
2.74/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/2.33
+3% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +0%
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
401 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 75%
43.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
31.1 Crosses 13.2
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Riga FC
4W-2D-0L
AWAY FS Jelgava
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.70 xG 0.73
64% Ball Possession 36%
20 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
457 Passes 210
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
35 Box Touches 15
28 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.05.2026 Riga FC Riga FC 2-2 HT 0-2 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
04.04.2026 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 0-8 HT 0-2 Riga FC Riga FC LET
21.09.2025 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 2-3 HT 0-0 Riga FC Riga FC LET
01.07.2025 Riga FC Riga FC 3-0 HT 2-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
10.05.2025 Riga FC Riga FC 2-0 HT 0-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
15.03.2025 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 1-1 HT 0-0 Riga FC Riga FC LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Riga FC
3-0
AWAY FS Jelgava
2.00 xG 0.46
66% Ball Possession 34%
7 Total Shots 1
3 Shots on Target 0
11 Corners 2
294 Passes 125
12 Box Touches 3
9 Crosses 5
POST-MATCH Riga FC vs FS Jelgava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC cruised past FS Jelgava 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Riga FC as the likeliest winner at 80%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Riga FC had 66% of the ball to FS Jelgava's 34%, shots finished 7-1, expected goals 2.00 to 0.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Riga FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Riga FC and 0.83 for FS Jelgava.

What was the final score of Riga FC vs FS Jelgava?

Riga FC 3-0 FS Jelgava in the Latvia - Virsliga on 03/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Riga FC vs FS Jelgava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 80%, with the full match-result split Riga FC 80%, draw 13%, FS Jelgava 7%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Riga FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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