Stade Lavallois 1-2 Nantes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.08
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.87
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.06
6+ Goals
9%
19.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
29%
+5.1pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
37%
Away Win
44%
-6.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.0pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Lavallois EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Nantes EU Bookmakers 48%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.89
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -30%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Lavallois
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Nantes
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.89 xG 1.68
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
220 Passes 614
72% Pass Accuracy 87%
6 Box Touches 28
11 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
20.01.2024 Nantes Nantes 0-1 HT 0-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FRK
15.07.2023 Nantes Nantes 0-3 HT 0-2 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois HAZ
28.10.2014 Nantes Nantes 4-0 HT 1-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FRLK
19.01.2013 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 0-0 HT 0-0 Nantes Nantes FR2
10.08.2012 Nantes Nantes 3-1 HT 1-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
20.04.2012 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 2-0 HT 2-0 Nantes Nantes FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Lavallois
1-2
AWAY Nantes
44% Ball Possession 56%
4 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Stade Lavallois vs Nantes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nantes edged past Stade Lavallois 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 37% — and on the day Nantes made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stade Lavallois had 44% of the ball to Nantes's 56%, shots finished 4-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stade Lavallois had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Stade Lavallois and 1.17 for Nantes.

What was the final score of Stade Lavallois vs Nantes?

Stade Lavallois 1-2 Nantes in the Friendlies on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Lavallois vs Nantes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nantes win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Stade Lavallois 34%, draw 29%, Nantes 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nantes), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nantes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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