Charlotte Independence vs Texoma Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Charlotte Independence v Texoma — Team-Based Signals
Charlotte Independence vs Texoma Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Charlotte Independence 3-3 Texoma — Actual Match Statistics
Charlotte Independence and Texoma shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
This one beat our numbers. Charlotte Independence carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Charlotte Independence had 47% of the ball to Texoma's 53%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 3.03 to 1.56.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Charlotte Independence and 3.00 for Texoma.
What was the final score of Charlotte Independence vs Texoma?
Charlotte Independence 3-3 Texoma in the USA - USL League 1 on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Charlotte Independence vs Texoma?
Before kick-off our model rated a Charlotte Independence win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Charlotte Independence 58%, draw 22%, Texoma 21%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Charlotte Independence) went the other way.