Cracovia Krakow 0-2 Pogon Szczecin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 3 Aug 2026

📅03/08/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.63
2-3 Goals
43%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
3.94
6+ Goals
8%
18.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.19
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
5%
12.85
X/1 EV+ ✗
23%
4.95
X/2
9%
6.52
X/X
14%
4.07
2/1
8%
28.5
2/2
14%
4.9
2/X
9%
13.4
Value flag · X/1 at 4.95 — our 23% vs market 15.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.9pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.2pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.5pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cracovia Krakow EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Pogon Szczecin EU Bookmakers 33%
-1% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -17%
1.20/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.72
+2% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 74%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.3
20.4 Crosses 19.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cracovia Krakow
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Pogon Szczecin
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.66 xG 1.59
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
261 Passes 388
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.04.2026 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 1-1 HT 0-1 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
25.10.2025 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 2-1 HT 0-1 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
14.03.2025 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 5-2 HT 2-2 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
14.09.2024 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 2-1 HT 1-0 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
30.03.2024 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 3-1 HT 2-1 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
23.09.2023 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 1-5 HT 0-2 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cracovia Krakow
0-2
AWAY Pogon Szczecin
1.15 xG 0.93
19 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
387 Passes 257
32 Box Touches 21
29 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cracovia Krakow vs Pogon Szczecin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pogon Szczecin got the better of Cracovia Krakow 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Cracovia Krakow at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 1.15 to 0.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pogon Szczecin led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cracovia Krakow and 2.83 for Pogon Szczecin.

What was the final score of Cracovia Krakow vs Pogon Szczecin?

Cracovia Krakow 0-2 Pogon Szczecin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 03/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cracovia Krakow vs Pogon Szczecin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cracovia Krakow win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Cracovia Krakow 44%, draw 28%, Pogon Szczecin 28%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cracovia Krakow) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cracovia Krakow) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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