Cracovia Krakow 1-1 Pogon Szczecin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.51
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
4.15
6+ Goals
9%
21.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.27
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.15
X/1
20%
4.93
X/2
12%
6.37
X/X
11%
3.98
2/1
9%
29.5
2/2
14%
4.86
2/X
7%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.1pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.2pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.1pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cracovia Krakow EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Pogon Szczecin EU Bookmakers 33%
-1% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -23%
1.21/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.77
+4% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
339 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 75%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.9
20.8 Crosses 20.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cracovia Krakow
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Pogon Szczecin
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
1.59 xG 2.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
253 Passes 416
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.10.2025 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 2-1 HT 0-1 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
14.03.2025 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 5-2 HT 2-2 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
14.09.2024 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 2-1 HT 1-0 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
30.03.2024 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 3-1 HT 2-1 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
23.09.2023 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 1-5 HT 0-2 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
08.04.2023 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 3-2 HT 2-1 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cracovia Krakow
1-1
AWAY Pogon Szczecin
0.98 xG 0.97
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 0
324 Passes 264
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cracovia Krakow vs Pogon Szczecin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cracovia Krakow and Pogon Szczecin shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Cracovia Krakow at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Cracovia Krakow had 55% of the ball to Pogon Szczecin's 45%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 0.98 to 0.97.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pogon Szczecin led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cracovia Krakow and 3.17 for Pogon Szczecin.

What was the final score of Cracovia Krakow vs Pogon Szczecin?

Cracovia Krakow 1-1 Pogon Szczecin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cracovia Krakow vs Pogon Szczecin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cracovia Krakow win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Cracovia Krakow 44%, draw 24%, Pogon Szczecin 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cracovia Krakow), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cracovia Krakow) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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