Korona Kielce 1-1 Katowice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 25 Apr 2026

Korona Kielce
1-1 HT 0-1
Katowice
📅25/04/2026 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2025/2026

Korona Kielce vs Katowice Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.15
Over 2.5
46%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.98
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
2.85
6+ Goals
10%
8.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.98 — our 28% vs market 18.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.8
1/2
6%
30.0
1/X
7%
12.15
X/1 EV+ ✗
23%
5.1
X/2
9%
7.18
X/X
11%
5.17
2/1
6%
22.65
2/2
13%
4.77
2/X
8%
12.75
Value flag · X/1 at 5.1 — our 23% vs market 15.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-0.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
43%
+10.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
57%
-10.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.5pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Korona Kielce v Katowice — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Korona Kielce EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Katowice EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
1.77/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.57
+5% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
21.6 Crosses 17.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1

Korona Kielce vs Katowice Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Korona Kielce
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Katowice
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.58 xG 1.04
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
264 Passes 339
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.10.2025 Katowice Katowice 1-0 HT 0-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
05.05.2025 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 2-1 HT 1-0 Katowice Katowice POL
04.11.2024 Katowice Katowice 1-2 HT 1-1 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
10.12.2022 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 0-1 HT 0-0 Katowice Katowice HAZ
14.05.2022 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 1-2 HT 0-1 Katowice Katowice POL1
06.11.2021 Katowice Katowice 1-0 HT 1-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL1

Korona Kielce 1-1 Katowice — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Korona Kielce
1-1
AWAY Katowice
1.90 xG 1.88
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
331 Passes 253
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Box Touches 27
25 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Korona Kielce vs Katowice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Korona Kielce and Katowice couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Korona Kielce at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Korona Kielce had 56% of the ball to Katowice's 44%, shots finished 17-16, expected goals 1.90 to 1.88.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Katowice led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Korona Kielce and 1.17 for Katowice.

What was the final score of Korona Kielce vs Katowice?

Korona Kielce 1-1 Katowice in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Korona Kielce vs Katowice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Korona Kielce win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Korona Kielce 46%, draw 25%, Katowice 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Korona Kielce) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Korona Kielce) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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