Nacional de Football vs Progreso Prediction — Model Probabilities
Nacional de Football v Progreso — Team-Based Signals
Nacional de Football vs Progreso Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Nacional de Football edged past Progreso 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nacional de Football as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 50% and both teams to score at 46%. The market went further still — the BTTS-no price closed at 1.64, about 61%.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Nacional de Football and 0.33 for Progreso.
Nacional de Football vs Progreso Result & Final Score
Nacional de Football 2 - 1 Progreso in the Uruguay - Premier League on 03/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Nacional de Football vs Progreso Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Nacional de Football 69%, draw 19%, Progreso 12%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional de Football) — while BTTS No went the other way.