Toulouse vs Lille Prediction — Model Probabilities
Toulouse v Lille — Team-Based Signals
Toulouse vs Lille Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
There's a lean to Lille in the data, with more than enough uncertainty to keep this interesting.
Lille's defence has been shut tight on the road — 4 clean sheets in their last 5 league games there.
Looking at the history: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lille lead the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Toulouse and 2.00 for Lille.
Toulouse vs Lille Kick-off Time
Toulouse play Lille in the France - Ligue 1 on 03/09/2026, kick-off 21:45 (Istanbul · GMT+3).
Toulouse vs Lille Match Prediction & Odds
Our model's prediction for Toulouse vs Lille is an Lille win at about 46% probability, priced 2.11 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Toulouse 26%, draw 28%, Lille 46%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.