Borac Banja Luka 1-1 Panathinaikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 3 Oct 2024

📅03/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.75
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
42%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.74
Over
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.84
2-3
43%
1.77
4-5
19%
4.11
6+
9%
19.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
6.65
1/2
8%
26.0
1/X
4%
15.7
X/1
9%
8.13
X/2
15%
3.97
X/X
13%
4.54
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
19%
2.46
2/X
9%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
24%
+8.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
42%
Away Win
51%
-8.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.1pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Borac Banja Luka EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 55%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
273 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Borac Banja Luka
1-1
AWAY Panathinaikos
0.48 xG 1.61
31% Ball Possession 69%
13 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
198 Passes 537
76% Pass Accuracy 88%
10 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Borac Banja Luka vs Panathinaikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Borac Banja Luka and Panathinaikos couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Panathinaikos at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Borac Banja Luka had 31% of the ball to Panathinaikos's 69%, shots finished 13-17, expected goals 0.48 to 1.61.

What was the final score of Borac Banja Luka vs Panathinaikos?

Borac Banja Luka 1-1 Panathinaikos in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Borac Banja Luka vs Panathinaikos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Panathinaikos win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Borac Banja Luka 32%, draw 26%, Panathinaikos 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Panathinaikos), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Panathinaikos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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