Cercle Brugge 6-2 St. Gallen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 3 Oct 2024

📅03/10/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
2.23
Over
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1
28%
4.66
2-3
37%
1.91
4-5
22%
2.86
6+
13%
8.03
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.03
1/2
9%
28.5
1/X
5%
12.05
X/1
18%
5.33
X/2
13%
6.69
X/X
13%
5.24
2/1
7%
23.6
2/2
15%
4.17
2/X
5%
12.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.1pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.7pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+5.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.7pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cercle Brugge EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Gallen EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -48% / -48%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +67% / -53%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
254 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
Crosses 20.0
Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cercle Brugge
6-2
AWAY St. Gallen
3.31 xG 1.56
43% Ball Possession 57%
16 Total Shots 14
12 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 8
180 Passes 247
66% Pass Accuracy 68%
37 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cercle Brugge vs St. Gallen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cercle Brugge cruised past St. Gallen 6-2. Half-time: 3-0. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 37%) promised a tight game; Cercle Brugge found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Cercle Brugge had 43% of the ball to St. Gallen's 57%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 3.31 to 1.56.

What was the final score of Cercle Brugge vs St. Gallen?

Cercle Brugge 6-2 St. Gallen in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cercle Brugge vs St. Gallen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cercle Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Cercle Brugge 39%, draw 24%, St. Gallen 37%. The final score 6-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cercle Brugge), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cercle Brugge) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVKL More UEFA Europa Conference League
3 Oct 2024
00:00 Petrocub vs Pafos Analysis →
19:45 Omonia Nicosia vs Vikingur R. Analysis →
19:45 Heidenheim vs Olimpija Ljubljana Analysis →
19:45 FC Astana vs Backa Topola Analysis →
19:45 Legia Varşova vs Real Betis Analysis →
19:45 Noah vs Mlada Boleslav Analysis →