Noah 2-0 Mlada Boleslav — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 3 Oct 2024

📅03/10/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
51%
1.74
Over
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.87
2-3
41%
1.77
4-5
20%
4.06
6+
10%
19.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.55
1/2
5%
32.5
1/X
7%
13.5
X/1
12%
5.1
X/2
12%
5.69
X/X
14%
4.26
2/1
12%
29.5
2/2
15%
4.14
2/X
6%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+2.1pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-1.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.2pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Noah EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Mlada Boleslav EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +50% / +50%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +127% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
Crosses 6.0
Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Noah
2-0
AWAY Mlada Boleslav
1.52 xG 0.45
55% Ball Possession 45%
25 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 6
417 Passes 338
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
34 Box Touches 10
19 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Noah vs Mlada Boleslav
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Noah got the better of Mlada Boleslav 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Noah as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Noah had 55% of the ball to Mlada Boleslav's 45%, shots finished 25-14, expected goals 1.52 to 0.45.

What was the final score of Noah vs Mlada Boleslav?

Noah 2-0 Mlada Boleslav in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Noah vs Mlada Boleslav?

Before kick-off our model rated a Noah win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Noah 41%, draw 27%, Mlada Boleslav 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Noah), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Noah) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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