03/10/2024
·
00:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-1
Petrocub vs Pafos Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH
Away Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
18%
29%
Draw
24%
48%
Away Win
58%
60%
Under 2.5
49%
40%
Over 2.5
51%
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
50%
BTTS No
51%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Petrocub v Pafos — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Petrocub
EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY
Pafos
EU Bookmakers 62%
-34% /
-34%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-71% /
-71%
0.59/1.59
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.00/2.00
-40%
/
-1%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-41%
/
-58%
45%
Ball Possession
55%
8
Total Shots
12
3
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
6
241 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
268 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
3.8
Yellow Cards
0.0
POST-MATCH
Petrocub vs Pafos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Pafos ran out comfortable winners over Petrocub 4-1 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Pafos as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Petrocub vs Pafos?
Petrocub 1-4 Pafos in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Petrocub vs Pafos?
Before kick-off our model rated an Pafos win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Petrocub 23%, draw 29%, Pafos 48%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pafos) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Pafos)
✗ Under 2.5
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