Heidenheim vs Olimpija Ljubljana Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Heidenheim v Olimpija Ljubljana — Team-Based Signals
Heidenheim 2-1 Olimpija Ljubljana — Actual Match Statistics
Heidenheim squeezed past Olimpija Ljubljana 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Heidenheim as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Heidenheim had 66% of the ball to Olimpija Ljubljana's 34%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 1.89 to 1.44.
What was the final score of Heidenheim vs Olimpija Ljubljana?
Heidenheim 2-1 Olimpija Ljubljana in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Heidenheim vs Olimpija Ljubljana?
Before kick-off our model rated a Heidenheim win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Heidenheim 49%, draw 26%, Olimpija Ljubljana 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Heidenheim) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.