FC Copenhagen vs Jagiellonia Bialystok Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FC Copenhagen v Jagiellonia Bialystok — Team-Based Signals
FC Copenhagen 1-2 Jagiellonia Bialystok — Actual Match Statistics
Jagiellonia Bialystok squeezed past FC Copenhagen 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was FC Copenhagen at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.
On the day, FC Copenhagen had 68% of the ball to Jagiellonia Bialystok's 32%, shots finished 20-4, expected goals 1.37 to 0.66 — the balance of chances actually favoured FC Copenhagen.
What was the final score of FC Copenhagen vs Jagiellonia Bialystok?
FC Copenhagen 1-2 Jagiellonia Bialystok in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FC Copenhagen vs Jagiellonia Bialystok?
Before kick-off our model rated a FC Copenhagen win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split FC Copenhagen 54%, draw 25%, Jagiellonia Bialystok 21%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Copenhagen) went the other way.