Fiorentina vs The New Saints Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fiorentina v The New Saints — Team-Based Signals
Fiorentina 2-0 The New Saints — Actual Match Statistics
Fiorentina beat The New Saints 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Fiorentina as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Fiorentina had 80% of the ball to The New Saints's 20%, shots finished 28-2, expected goals 3.36 to 0.20.
What was the final score of Fiorentina vs The New Saints?
Fiorentina 2-0 The New Saints in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fiorentina vs The New Saints?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorentina win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina 62%, draw 19%, The New Saints 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fiorentina) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.