Shamrock Rovers 1-1 APOEL Nicosia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 3 Oct 2024

📅03/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.69
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
40%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
1.64
Over
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2.59
2-3
45%
1.77
4-5
19%
4.55
6+
6%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.23
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
9%
15.05
X/1
8%
7.55
X/2
17%
4.16
X/X
16%
4.07
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
16%
2.7
2/X
6%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
24%
+4.9pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.7pp
40%
Away Win
49%
-8.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY APOEL Nicosia EU Bookmakers 53%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
0.00/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-100% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
242 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 79%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shamrock Rovers
1-1
AWAY APOEL Nicosia
0.15 xG 1.33
32% Ball Possession 68%
4 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 8
232 Passes 567
76% Pass Accuracy 90%
10 Box Touches 24
10 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shamrock Rovers vs APOEL Nicosia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamrock Rovers and APOEL Nicosia shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 31% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Shamrock Rovers had 32% of the ball to APOEL Nicosia's 68%, shots finished 4-14, expected goals 0.15 to 1.33.

What was the final score of Shamrock Rovers vs APOEL Nicosia?

Shamrock Rovers 1-1 APOEL Nicosia in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shamrock Rovers vs APOEL Nicosia?

Before kick-off our model rated an APOEL Nicosia win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Shamrock Rovers 29%, draw 31%, APOEL Nicosia 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (APOEL Nicosia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (APOEL Nicosia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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