Istra 1961 1-0 NK Varazdin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 3 Oct 2025

📅03/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.64
Over
43%
2.05
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.52
2-3
46%
1.72
4-5
18%
4.22
6+
4%
21.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
20%
2/1
2%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Istra 1961 The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY NK Varazdin The Market 32%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.45 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.07
1.13 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.11
Average Attack Strength Bad
Strong Defense Strength Strong
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 75%
20 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Istra 1961
1W-4D-1L
AWAY NK Varazdin
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.92 xG 1.11
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
314 Passes 286
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2025 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 0-0 HT 0-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
08.03.2025 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 0-0 HT 0-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
07.12.2024 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 0-0 HT 0-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
20.09.2024 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 1-0 HT 0-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
17.05.2024 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 2-0 HT 0-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
08.03.2024 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 2-2 HT 2-1 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Istra 1961
1 - 0
AWAY NK Varazdin
0.60 xG 1.21
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 4
331 Passes 340
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
10 Box Touches 29
10 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 5
REVIEW Istra 1961 vs NK Varazdin
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Istra 1961 edged past NK Varazdin 1-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Istra 1961 as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: under 2.5 goals (57%) landed.

On the day, Istra 1961 had 49% of the ball to NK Varazdin's 51%, shots finished 9-19, expected goals 0.60 to 1.21 — by the quality of chances, NK Varazdin deserved more.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Istra 1961 and 0.50 for NK Varazdin.

Istra 1961 vs NK Varazdin Result & Final Score

Istra 1961 1 - 0 NK Varazdin in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 03/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Istra 1961 vs NK Varazdin Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Istra 1961 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Istra 1961 42%, draw 31%, NK Varazdin 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Istra 1961), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Istra 1961) ✓ Under 2.5
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